标签归档:Matrix

Matrix Reload里的对话

发生在Neo和Architect之间的对话。

Architect: Hello Neo.
Neo: Who are you?
Architect: I am the Architect. I created the matrix. I’ve been waiting for you. You have many questions, and though the process has altered your consciousness, you remain irrevocably human. Ergo, some of my answers you will understand, and some of them you will not. Concordantly, while your first question may be the most pertinent, you may or may not realize it is also the most irrelevant.
Neo: Why am I here?

Architect: Your life is the sum of a remainder of an unbalanced equation inherent to the programming of the Matrix. You are the eventuality of an anomaly, which despite my sincerest efforts, I have been unable to eliminate from what is otherwise a harmony of mathematical precision. While it remains a burden assiduously avoided, it is not unexpected, and thus not beyond a measure of control. Which has led you, inexorably, here.
Neo: You haven’t answered my question.
Architect: Quite right. Interesting. That was quicker than the others.
Neo: Others? How many? What others?

Architect: The Matrix is older than you know. I prefer counting from the emergence of one integral anomaly to the emergence of the next. In which case this is the sixth version.
Neo: There are only two possible explanations. Either no one told me, or no one knows.
Architect: Precisely. As you were undoubtedly gathering, the anomaly is systemic, creating fluctuations in even the most simplistic equations.

病毒是利用全球化起来的,只有用反全球化的思路去抑制。否则就出现the ONE那种消除不了的anomal.

为了完美而做了过拟合

武汉有世界上最顶级的病毒实验室,然而却在这次新冠病毒上如此的进退失据。从管理上看,是肉食者所在意的是另外的事情,比如稳定等等,CDC也有参与早期的调查,虽然给出了风险评估,但也未能如我们事后诸葛那样强制要求政府有所作为。

按道理来说,武汉也做过针对MERS的应急处理规划,从制度和物资上来看,都具备良好的基础,缘何一手好牌打烂了。

从计算机工程的角度看,我认为武汉的所谓应对制度和准备,属于一种基于以往SARS和MERS的既有经验的过拟合的措施。而事实上,新冠是与以往的冠状病毒有迥然不同的传播能力上的差异。

因此,要应对新时期的各种情况,需要将模型的产生和调整,改为动态的训练模式。

这意味着gov将大力收集原本并不需要实时收集的实时数据,而对系统的监控又提出了更大的需求。

前两天带CC看完了《Matrix: Reload》,Matrix 的设计初衷是完美化,然而在趋向完美的同时,偏差和错误将逐步积累,从而将the ONE——Neo积累得越来越强大,成为完美Matrix的最大威胁。

这将是无法避免的——基于控制理论的系统最终将走向崩溃。

Matrix给出的一个有效的做法是隔离,考虑一下,类似于生殖隔离的文明隔离,Zion和Matrix事实上是两个相互隔离的系统/文明。

隔离的同时,也允许两个文明之间竞争并协同进化(并非趋同进化)。

但这种做法,与全球化的思路又大相径庭。或者说,就是反全球化的思路。

之所以如此类比,是因为控制系统过拟合是必然,新情况之所以能出现,必然不是已有的案例,对于人类来说,未知总是最大的那一个接触面。